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dc.contributor.authorMakowski, David
dc.contributor.authorBancal, R.
dc.contributor.authorVicent, Antonio
dc.date.accessioned2017-06-01T10:12:33Z
dc.date.available2017-06-01T10:12:33Z
dc.date.issued2011
dc.identifier.citationMakowski, D., Bancal, R., Vicent, A. (2011). Estimation of Leaf Wetness Duration Requirements of Foliar Fungal Pathogens with Uncertain Data-An Application to Mycosphaerella nawae. Phytopathology, 101(11), 1346-1354.
dc.identifier.issn0031-949X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11939/5552
dc.description.abstractWetness of the host surface is a critical environmental factor for the development of foliar fungal diseases, but it is difficult to estimate the wetness durations required by pathogens for infection when only few experimental data are available. In this paper, we propose a method to estimate wetness duration requirements of foliar fungal pathogens when precise experimental data are not available. The proposed method is based on approximate Bayesian computation. It only requires lower and upper bounds of wetness duration requirements for one or fewer temperatures. We describe the method, show how to apply it to an infection model, and then present a case study on Mycosphaerella nowae, the causal agent of circular leaf spot of persimmon. In this example, the parameters of a simple infection model were estimated using experimental data found in the literature for the pathogen, and the model was applied to assess the risk in a Spanish area recently affected by the disease. The results showed that the probability of successful infection was higher than 0.5 for 32% of the on-site wetness durations recorded in the affected area. Results obtained with simulated data showed that our method was able to improve the estimation of wetness duration requirement. Given the flexibility of the proposed method, we expect it to become adopted for assessing the risk of introduction of exotic fungal plant pathogens.
dc.language.isoen
dc.titleEstimation of Leaf Wetness Duration Requirements of Foliar Fungal Pathogens with Uncertain Data-An Application to Mycosphaerella nawae
dc.typearticle
dc.authorAddressInstituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Agrarias (IVIA), Carretera CV-315, Km. 10’7, 46113 Moncada (Valencia), Españaes
dc.date.issuedFreeFormNOV 2011
dc.entidadIVIACentro de Protección Vegetal y Biotecnología
dc.identifier.doi10.1094/PHYTO-01-11-0024
dc.journal.abbreviatedTitlePhytopathology
dc.journal.issueNumber11
dc.journal.titlePhytopathology
dc.journal.volumeNumber101
dc.page.final1354
dc.page.initial1346
dc.rights.accessRightsopenAccess
dc.source.typeImpreso


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